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ADA Investors Resist Sell-Off, Price Could Exceed 1 USD

January 11, 2025
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Cardano (ADA) has faced price volatility over the past month, preventing the altcoin from regaining solid support at the $1.00 mark.

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Signals from the broader market remain neutral to bearish, limiting upside momentum. However, ADA Long-Term Holders (LTH) are providing important support, preventing a significant price decline.

Cardano has solid support

The Cardano price’s DAA (Daily Active Address) divergence indicator has been consistently giving sell signals over the past days. This trend reflects reduced investor participation, which coupled with a lack of significant price growth has weakened bullish sentiment in the market.

Investors appear cautious, as the current market environment has dampened optimism. Uncertainty surrounding ADA’s growth trajectory has created a wait-and-see strategy, with limited buying activity from both retail and institutional participants.

Cardano Price DAA Divergence
Cardano Price DAA Divergence. Source: Santiment

On a macro level, Cardano’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index has a positive long/short difference of 45%. This indicates that long-term investors are making significant profits. These investors, known for their persistence, are less likely to sell during periods of volatility, providing stability to ADA’s price.

In the case of Cardano, these LTHs play a pivotal role in reducing the impact of a potential sell-off. Their continued support prevents deep declines, bolstering confidence that ADA’s price can recover in the short term if broader market conditions improve.

Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference
Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference. Source: Santiment

ADA Price Prediction: Accumulation Ahead

Cardano is currently trading below $1.00, with a price of $0.91 as of press time. Reclaiming $1.00 as support remains an important target but will need to overcome the mentioned bearish signals and limited market participation.

If broader market conditions remain unchanged, ADA is likely to continue to accumulate between $0.85 and $1.00. This price range has served as a buffer for Cardano in the past, allowing investors to regroup during periods of uncertainty.

Cardano Price Analysis.
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if bullish momentum returns to the market, Cardano could break the $1.00 resistance. Establishing $1.00 as strong support negates the bearish-neutral outlook and opens up the possibility of a rally to $1.23, indicating investor optimism about the long-term growth of ADA.

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