- Bitcoin options expired with $2.67 billion notional value.
- Neutral-to-bearish sentiment observed among traders.
- Bitcoin surged past $100,000 after the event.
Bitcoin’s options expiry is significant due to its potential impact on market sentiment and trading activity, indicating a shift in perception.
The expiry involved 26,000 BTC options, analyzed by Greeks.live, with a max pain point at $94,000 and a put-call ratio of 1.05. BTC surged above $100,000 following the event. Adam from Greeks.live provided insights, noting that many bearish options had expired worthless. Market liquidity remains high, with a shift towards bullish sentiment anticipated in future cycles.
“The month-end expiry of 26,000 BTC options signifies a potential shift towards market optimism as many bearish options expired worthless.” – Adam, Options Analyst, Greeks.live
The event’s immediate effect saw Bitcoin’s price surging past $100,000, indicating a market reversal. Implied volatility for BTC was stable, while
ETH’s IV surged, influenced by sudden price dynamics.
Historical trends affirm that large expiry events, such as the March 2025 occurrence, often lead to brief volatility spikes. Institutional commentary supports the view that this expiration cycle aligns with past pattern shifts. The absence of new regulatory developments and on-chain changes suggests ongoing market stability.
The expiry trend supports a market approach where traders anticipate and adapt to volatility fluctuations.
Technological enhancements in related options markets continue to buffer shifts observed in historical data, signaling opportunities for both investors and analysts.