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XRP Analysis: Rising Momentum Declines, Risk Below 2 USD

December 11, 2024
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Ripple (XRP) is facing the risk of falling below the $2 threshold after falling 12% in the past week. This potential decline is highlighted by technical indicators identified in recent XRP analysis, which suggest selling pressure is increasing.

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A few days ago, XRP rose to a yearly high of $2.73, sparking speculation of a possible return to $3. However, that prediction may be delayed, and here’s why.

Ripple Loses Its Preeminent Position

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator that measures momentum, is suggesting that XRP price could decline. RSI also shows whether an asset is overbought or oversold. When the index is above 70.00, the asset is overbought; when below 30.00, the asset is oversold.

On December 2, the RSI on the XRP/USD daily chart reached 96.25, indicating that it was overbought. This also coincides with the Token’s local peak.

As of the time of this writing, XRP price analysis shows that the index has fallen below the 50.00 neutral zone, suggesting that the momentum around it is currently decreasing. Along with that, trading volume is also decreasing, so XRP is likely to continue to fall below $2.34 in the short term.

XRP price and momentum
Ripple Relative Strength Index. Source: TradingView

Besides the RSI, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) also forecasts that XRP could slide below the current threshold. AO is a momentum indicator that compares recent movements with historical trends.

It uses a centerline with price movements plotted on either side based on comparing two different moving averages to check whether the momentum is bullish or bearish. When AO is positive, momentum is bullish, and momentum is bearish when the indicator has negative values.

At the present time, AO is at a positive level. However, the indicator has shown bars on the chart in red, suggesting that the bullish momentum around the altcoin is weakening.

XRP bearish momentum
Ripple’s Great Oscillator. Source: TradingView

XRP Price Forecast: Lower Bottom

On the 4-hour chart, XRP has formed a head and shoulders pattern. This is a classic bullish to bearish reversal pattern, consisting of three peaks: the left shoulder, then a higher peak (head), and then a lower peak (right shoulder).

A “neckline” is drawn by connecting the lowest points of the two troughs. The slope of the neckline can be either up or down. However, a downward slope often indicates a more reliable reversal.

XRP price analysis
Ripple 4 Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

As seen below, XRP price has dropped below the neckline at $2.40, indicating weak buying. If the bulls cannot reverse this trend, the Token risks falling to $1.87. However, if buying pressure increases, XRP could climb to $2.90.

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