XRP is trading far below the breakout trigger in the technical setup Ali Charts posted in early 2025, which is why the old bullish call reads more like a dated framework than an active buy signal today.
On January 4, 2025, Ali Charts wrote that XRP was “still consolidating within the pennant of a massive bull pennant pattern” and said $2.73 had to break before the setup could avoid a pullback toward $2.05 and reopen a path to $11.
$XRP is still consolidating within the pennant of a massive bull pennant pattern. Until the $2.73 resistance is broken, a pullback to $2.05 remains possible before a potential breakout to $11! pic.twitter.com/ET39FJMtAc
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) January 4, 2025
What Ali Charts’ Original XRP Setup Actually Said
AMBCrypto reported on January 5, 2025 that XRP had climbed 12.91% in 24 hours, touched $2.50, and traded near $2.45 while repeating the same $2.73, $2.05, and $11 framework from the Ali Charts post.
Confirmed setup details versus headline exaggeration
The primary post never called XRP the best buying opportunity on the market, and it never promised a 10x outcome. What is confirmed is narrower: one analyst published a dated technical thesis with a resistance trigger, a pullback risk, and a stretch upside target.
Why the January 2025 XRP Call Looks Different in April 2026
On April 4, 2026, XRP traded near $1.31, which left it well below the old $2.73 breakout trigger and means the original confirmation is not active in the current market snapshot.
Short-term tape is not reinforcing the old bullish framing either: CoinGecko showed XRP down -0.52% over the last 24 hours, a softer backdrop that looks closer to the caution in Bitcoin Fear Levels Spike: Why That May Help BTC than to the momentum traders were chasing in early January 2025.
What has changed since the setup was posted
CoinGecko’s XRP page says the token later set an all-time high of $3.65 on July 18, 2025, but that realized peak still stayed far below the original $11 objective that made the setup go viral.
CoinMarketCap currently lists XRP as the #4 cryptocurrency by market cap with about 61.4 billion circulating tokens, which underlines that XRP remains a major asset even though the old pennant trigger has not been reclaimed.
What Traders Should Watch Before Reviving the Bullish XRP Thesis
That is why the old chart should be treated as time-sensitive. With XRP still below $2.73, and CoinGecko showing roughly $80.7 billion in market cap and about $891.7 million in 24-hour volume, traders reviving the thesis would need to see price reclaim resistance and volume expand, not just recycle the target.
No fresh Ripple announcement, regulatory filing, or XRP Ledger governance change appears in the verified source set, so this remains a technical-analysis story rather than a corporate catalyst story. That also separates it from adoption narratives such as Charles Schwab’s New Crypto Offering: What It Could Mean for Bitcoin, where the debate is about new access, and from speculative pockets like April 8 Countdown: The Window for BlockDAG’s $0.000022 Entry is Closing Fast! Monero & Solana Face Bearish Pressure, where risk appetite is rotating elsewhere.
The next levels and catalysts to monitor over the next 24 to 72 hours
The cleanest near-term checklist is whether XRP can start closing the gap back toward $2.73, whether it can keep holding the area around $1.31, and whether 24-hour volume can build beyond roughly $891.7 million. Until a new analyst note or a new Ripple catalyst appears, the January 2025 setup is better read as an old roadmap whose April 2026 applicability is not independently verified.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and readers should review primary market data before making decisions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency and digital asset markets carry significant risk. Always do your own research before making decisions.
