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Altcoin Chances Fall, But 3 Signs of Revival!

December 21, 2024
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On December 4, the Altcoin Season Index reached 88, suggesting that Cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin could outperform the number one coin. However, the chances of the altcoin season may have taken a major hit.

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However, it seems there is still hope for a return this season. Here are three indicators that suggest that many cryptocurrencies in the top 50 could soon see significant increases.

Altcoins Pushed Back Again

Altcoin season refers to the period where altcoins outperform Bitcoin in terms of market capitalization growth. The Altcoin Season Index measures this trend, determining whether 75% of the top 50 Cryptocurrencies are outperforming Bitcoin.

Typically, an index value above 75 signals the beginning of altcoin season, while a value of 25 reflects Bitcoin Dominance. However, the index has now dropped to 49, indicating a setback for altcoins as Bitcoin restores its strong position in the market.

But despite the decline, it doesn’t look like alt season is over. One indicator that shows this is Bitcoin Dominance.

Altcoin season data
Altcoin Season Index. Source: Blockchaincenter

An increase in Bitcoin Dominance often signifies a growing preference for Bitcoin over altcoins, especially during periods of market volatility. This trend suggests that investors view Bitcoin as a safer option, due to its relative stability and established market position.

As dominance increases, interest in smaller Cryptocurrencies may decrease, most likely leading to a decline in capital flows into altcoins. A few weeks ago, Bitcoin Dominance increased to 62%, suggesting that altcoins may not continue to play a dependent role.

But at the time of writing, it has dropped to 58.82%, showing that the altcoin has taken partial control. If the decline continues, then the price of BTC could fall while the price of altcoins could skyrocket.

Bitcoin dominance decline
Bitcoin Dominance Chart. Source: TradingView

Altcoin Market Capitalization Still Preparing for Growth

TOTAL2 total market capitalization, which tracks the top 125 altcoins, recently fell to $1.35 trillion, suggesting that non-Bitcoin assets are performing poorly. This drop usually signals that the altcoin season may be delayed, with Bitcoin dominating the market.

However, a glimmer of hope flashed: TOTAL2 broke through a descending triangle, signaling a possible trend reversal. While the altcoin season may be facing headwinds for now, this breakout implies that altcoins could regain momentum if volumes start to increase.

Analysis of altcoin season prices
TOTAL Weekly Analysis. Source: TradingView

If volumes increase, TOTAL2’s market capitalization could climb to $1.65 trillion, signaling a revival of altcoin season opportunities and potentially pushing prices higher.

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