Tokenomics Research #six: Is Avalanche (AVAX) Still Interesting Enough?

Recently, there has been a whole lot of speak about Aptos with retroactive occasions or the possible of Sui Network, zkSync. These are all new ecosystems and nevertheless require a prolonged time to create. So, with competitors from new tasks, do ecosystems like Avalanche nevertheless stand a probability? In today’s write-up, we analyze AVAX – Tokenomics of Avalanche to assess the possible of the undertaking.

Tokenomics Research #six: Is Avalanche (AVAX) Still Attractive Enough?

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Avalanche overview (AVAX).

Avalanche is a undertaking carried out by Ava Labs, with the aim of making an infrastructure that will allow the launch of decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, monetary assets, transactions and other providers. The project’s target is to turn out to be a international asset trading platform that will allow any individual to launch or trade any type of asset and management it in a decentralized way making use of the proper contract, intelligent copper and other innovative technologies.

During the 2021 bull run, Avalanche has turn out to be a single of the quickest expanding and strongest ecosystems with lots of amazing numbers this kind of as:

  • TVL on the protocol has reached more than $twelve billion.
  • More than 200 tasks are constructed and designed on Avalanche.
  • Over 211 million transactions have been produced on the network.
  • More than three.9 million wallets are by now energetic on the network.

tokenomics

AVAX has a complete optimum provide (Max Supply) of 720 million tokens, it presently has a complete provide (as of November two) of 413.four million tokens, of which 298.six million are in circulation.

Allocation of AVAX tokens

Allocation of AVAX tokens

Sale of seeds: This round took area in February 2019, with a complete of 18 million AVAX tokens offered at an typical selling price of close to .33 USD.

Private Sale: This sale was finished in May 2020, with a complete of somewhere around 24.9 million tokens offered. The tokens have been offered for $ .50 every single.

Public sale: During the public sale, consumers will have three choices to purchase AVAX with a complete token sale of 17 million tokens, in which possibility A1 and A2, traders will be ready to purchase AVAX for .five USD, for possibility B , the open sale of the AVAX selling price is .85 USD.

Fundamentals: This portion of tokens will be distributed to an independent non-revenue organization known as the Avalanche Foundation. This fund will use the allotted AVAX Tokens for different ecosystem making initiatives, which includes advertising and marketing plans, incentive plans, and so on.

Strategic Partners: awarded to strategic partners, organizations that are making tasks on the Avalanche network.

Community and Development Endowment: These tokens are assigned with the distinct undertaking of distributing to persons and teams who create the core infrastructure and resources on Avalanche and help Avalanche by neighborhood making and grassroots advertising and marketing. For illustration, these individuals could include things like Avalanche Hub (formerly AVA Hub), Avalanche Ambassador (formerly AVA Ambassador), Avalanche-X (formerly AVA-X)…

Air Drops: These tokens are assigned with the distinct undertaking of distributing to various communities to appeal to extra individuals to the Avalanche neighborhood.

Testnet Incentive Program: These tokens are awarded to authenticated participants in the Avalanche incentive testnet plans.

Testnet Incentive Program: This portion of tokens will be distributed to individuals who participated in the Avalanche testnet.

Squad: These tokens are assigned to AVA Labs members.

Token unlocking system

Source: CoinGecko

Uses of the AVAX token

Currently AVAX is employed for staking functions (validator and tasks that want to create Subnet), having to pay commissions for transactions on the blockchain. This is also the essential use situation of Layer-one tasks.

Calculation of AVAX emissions in the long term

As of July 2022, in accordance to SnowTrace information, there are somewhere around 283 million AVAX tokens in circulation. According to Messari estimates, by close to July 2027, the quantity of AVAX tokens in circulation could attain 600 million tokens.

This adjust resulted in an enhance of 317 million tokens, an enhance of close to 112% in five many years. Cash movement will not be linear: Messari expects to disburse 381 million in July 2023, up by 98 million, and 457 million in 2024, up by 76 million. This is followed by an additional 53 million from 2024-25 (510 million in complete) and 45 million the two in 2026 (555 million in complete) and in 2027. The provide will attain 600 million by July 2027.

In the brief phrase, that quantity elevated by 34% concerning 2022 and 2023, or about two.eight% per month.

Update the existing circumstance of Avalanche

Development of subnets

Avalanche in Q1 had lots of significant updates, the most vital of which was the target on improvement Subnet – will allow the transformation of Avalanche from a mere ecosystem to a “universe” with tasks constructed on subnets.

To encourage the subnet improvement system, also announced Avalanche Foundation Avalanche Multiverse Fund with a worth of up to 290 million bucks. According to the Avalanche Foundation, the money will be employed to encourage and fund improvement tasks on the Avalanche subnet.

Even in the initial quarter, Avalanche continued to announce Culture Catalyst Fund with a worth of up to $ a hundred million to fund Web3 tasks. It can be stated that Avalanche is a single of the ecosystems that devote a whole lot of dollars on ecosystem improvement.

In certain, the subnet update is a significant update and immediately impacts the AVAX token in lots of approaches:

On the good side

Individuals and organizations wishing to participate in the subnet should initial be members of the main network (Avax’s core network), which signifies they have to stake a selected volume of AVAX. According to existing legislation, every single member desires two,000 AVAX staking. Can you envision when the subnet has extra than a hundred validators, how a great deal will the complete AVAX staking be? This is regarded to be a single of the wonderful bull situations.

On the damaging side

When moving to target on subnet improvement, Avalanche might experience a quantity of challenges:

  1. The volume of perform to be processed and the information to be stored is better => impacts the most important Avalanche network.
  2. Encouraging consumers to use the subnet signifies that Avalanche’s core network will be sucked into the subnets for money movement and consumers. Subnets will have the proper to use the coin / token they want as the most important coin / token for gasoline payment and subnet operation, so the volume of AVAX commissions collected will be diminished => decrease income and decrease AVAX consumption.
  3. In truth, the existing subnet was unsuccessful when only 02 tasks, Crabada and Defi Kingdom (the two energetic in GameFi) are making and working subnets on Avalanche. This quantity is as well little in my view.

=> The affect from Subnet is not a bullish situation for AVAX at the minute.

Build the core

In addition to making the subnet, Avalanche also builds Core. Core is Ava Labs’ decentralized wallet merchandise, which has fantastic compatibility with all EVM blockchains and Avalanche subnets. This is also a move that I imagine is in the proper course of Avalanche. In the long term, as consumers use Subnets extra and extra, it is crucial to have a decentralized wallet that is compatible with customized subnets. Avalanche is unlikely to rely on third-celebration wallets like Metamask for the prolonged phrase.

Unlike other dApps, Core is absolutely optimized for the Avalanche, Bitcoin and Ethereum networks.

With the Core merchandise suite, you can get complete management of your assets and carry out a selection of duties:

  • Bridge: transfer and use Bitcoin and Ethereum tokens on all Avalanche dApps.
  • Trade: Trade tokens on Avalanche and Ethereum with no leaving Core.
  • Convert from money to cryptocurrencies in minutes
  • View and deal with NFTs and digital assets across many networks
  • Take management: very own your brother’s identity and immediately switch to Avalanche, Bitcoin, Ethereum and any EVM compatible network
  • Search: Discover and trade seamlessly with Web3 addresses.

Reveal: you can Download Core and experiment, probably we will have the possibility to understand the retroactivity of Avalanche.

AVAX on-chain update

As I up to date over, there are presently close to $283 million really worth of AVAX tokens in circulation, which is about 39.three%.

AVAX staking statistics as of eleven/twelve/2022. Source: Avascan

Currently, in accordance to information on Avascan (November twelve, 2022), a complete of 223.one million AVAX are staked by one,222 validators. This represents 78.eight% of all tokens in circulation. It can be stated that AVAX nevertheless enjoys the believe in of lots of investment money and substantial organizations as they carry on to bet to retain the Avalanche network.

The yearly staking reward is presently reaching eight.73%, which signifies that there will be just about 19.five million AVAX tokens allotted to the validator every single yr. This might be AVAX’s existing offering strain as the validator will require to get revenue in purchase to get earnings quickly.

Next, we will be interested in the volume of AVAX burned by every single transaction. As you know, the extra transactions are produced, the extra commissions Avalanche collects, portion of which will be burned to deflate AVAX.

Total volume of burned AVAX – Source: BurnedAvax

Therefore, up to the time of creating this write-up (November twelve, 2022), the quantity of AVAX burned has reached about two million AVAX, equal to .28% of the complete provide of AVAX and .seven% of the complete of AVAX. In circulation. This is a really modest quantity, so its affect on the AVAX selling price is not a great deal. The volume of AVAX burned might enhance extra gradually in the close to long term with the affect of the market place and the course of Subnet improvement.

Number of C-chain transactions per day – Source: Snowtrace

From the starting of 2022 right up until currently, the cryptocurrency market place has constantly faced lots of complications, creating a major lower in the movement of dollars and consumers. This is the direct induce of the slowdown in the improvement of ecosystems. By following the graph of the quantity of transactions produced on C-Chain every single day, you can very easily see…

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