For some investors, Cardano’s recent drop below $1 could be seen as a disaster. However, ADA believers seem unfazed by this slight decline, as on-chain data suggests they may be preparing for another sustained uptrend.
Below is an in-depth analysis explaining how things could play out for this altcoin.
Cardano Investors Maintain Optimistic View
As of this writing, Cardano’s price is $0.98 after recently rising to $1.15. This slight decrease may be related to yesterday’s broader market decline, when Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $95k.
However, data from Coinglass reveals that ADA’s Spot inflow/outflow is currently negative $40 million, down from negative $63 million on Monday, November 25. This indicates that those who believe Cardano withdrew about 100 million USD from exchanges in just two days.
Typically, when Holders withdraw Tokens from exchanges, this indicates they have no plans to sell, which can put upward pressure on prices. Conversely, an increase in inflows could indicate that Holder is willing to sell, potentially leading to a decline in price.
Therefore, if exchange outflows continue to increase, Cardano’s price could recover in the short term. Another indicator that predicts this is Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA).
MDIA is the average age of all Tokens on the blockchain calculated by average purchase price. When it goes up, it means most tokens are stationary, making it difficult for prices to move significantly.
However, for Cardano, the MDIA over the past 90 days has decreased significantly, suggesting that trading activities of previously stationary coins have increased. If this trend sustains, ADA could easily trade higher as long as buying pressure increases.
ADA Price Forecast: Uptrend Continues
The 4-hour ADA chart shows a bull flag forming, a bullish pattern consisting of two rallies separated by a short period of consolidation.
The pattern begins with a sharp price increase, known as a “flagpole,” driven by strong buying pressure. This is followed by a retreat, forming the flag — a rectangle with parallel resistance levels. A bullish flag often signals that, after a consolidation period, the price is likely to continue its uptrend once the pattern breaks out.
Judging by the current situation, those who believe in Cardano could push the price above $1.15. If that happens, ADA is likely to move towards the $2 mark. Conversely, if selling pressure increases, the price could drop to $0.85.
